Friday, June 15, 2012

The conditional: L.A. SCHOOL CUTS COULD BE REVERSED IF JERRY BROWN'S TAX PLAN PASSES + smf’s 2¢

by Anthony York in Sacramento, LA Times LA Now | http://lat.ms/LqLPvV

Citing a $360-million budget deficit and more cuts coming from Sacramento, the Los Angeles Unified School District has voted to shorten the school year by one week. But a district spokesman said that could change if voters pass Gov. Jerry Brown's tax initiative in November

June 14, 2012 | 11:45 am  ::  Citing a $360-million budget deficit and more cuts coming from Sacramento, the Los Angeles Unified School District has voted to shorten the school year by one week. But a district spokesman said that could change if voters pass Gov. Jerry Brown's tax initiative in November.

Brown is hoping to place before voters a measure that would hike sales taxes by a quarter-cent and raise taxes on incomes of more than $250,000 a year by 1 to 3 percentage points. The Department of Finance estimates that the new taxes would bring in as much as $8 billion in the next budget year.

If those taxes are rejected, Brown and Democratic lawmakers are calling for $5.5 billion in cuts to public schools and community colleges. State universities would also be cut by $500,000.

LAUSD spokesman Tom Waldman said the board's Tuesday vote on shortening the school year assumes voters reject Brown's initiative.

"We have to budget based on the current fiscal situation, not what we think might happen or hope might happen,” he said.

When asked if those instructional days might be restored if Brown’s tax proposal passes, Waldman said, "There could be some change to the agreement if the state approves the governor's initiative."

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Photo:. LAUSD Board President Monica Garcia, right, and Schools Superintendent John Deasy listen to deliberations at a March board meeting. Credit: Luis Sinco / Los Angeles Times

2cents smf smf: The article above relies an awful lot upon the conditionals “could”. “if”  and “might” …as well as “Hope”  and  the ever-popular Dept. of Finance estimates of hypothetical revenues should the voters vote as hypothesized . 

This is political magical realism brought into the budgeting+election  process. 

And note that nobody is saying: “We promise to do anything if the voters vote “Yes” – thereby reducing the political promise  - whether to the UTLA electorate this week or the Brown Initiative electorate in November - to wishing upon a star. At 333 South Beaudry;  an alternate universe where the stars aren’t very stellar.

I could be more cynical, but why bother?

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